Outlook for 2025 video game sales brightens
EA’s Battlefield 6 sees “biggest opening ever,” and the video game industry overall could have a stronger year than expected.
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On the verge of a Saudi-backed $55 billion buyout to take the company private, EA is getting tactical with an early update on the status of its latest blockbuster.
The video game giant announced last week that Battlefield 6 saw the “biggest opening ever” in the franchise’s history, selling more than 7 million copies in the first three days since the launch.
The announcement also came with promises of more content to come, as EA positions Battlefield 6 to “become a cornerstone of our vision for dynamic, continually expanding experiences where community engagement shapes the future of play,” CEO Andrew Wilson told shareholders in July.
Later in that same earnings call, Wilson said the game ”isn’t just a product,” and that “we’re really building out Battlefield as a platform.”
This tracks with an industry-wide trend in which non-mobile subscriptions such as Nintendo Switch Online, PlayStation Plus, Xbox Game Pass, and World of Warcraft are driving sales. According to Circana, the category was up 21% from last year.
“Battlefield 6 is off to a strong start,” Mat Piscatella, senior director and video game industry expert at Circana, told Retail Brew via email, and “should finish among Q4’s bestselling premium video games this holiday.”
What does all this mean for the video game market overall as it heads into Q4?
Seeing the path to growth: “We’ll have to see how well these compare to last year’s bestsellers during the Q4 period such as Call of Duty: Black Ops 6, Dragon Ball: Sparking! Zero, NBA 2K25, and Madden NFL 25,” Piscatella said.
Earlier this year, Circana forecast a 4.7% YoY decline in spending across video game hardware, content, and accessories in 2025. Now its outlook is more optimistic.
“I can certainly see a path to year on year spending growth,” Piscatella said, although he added a good portion of this can be attributed to higher pricing.
He said that the industry may hinge on factors other than EA’s latest hit, including whether the Nintendo Switch 2 performs well or how Activision’s Call of Duty: Black Ops 7 fares compared to last year’s Black Ops 6.
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